African Billionaires’ Fortunes Swing After Trump’s Win

THE aftermath of Donald Trump’s recent election victory sent shockwaves across the global financial markets, including for African billionaires. While the US stock market soared and tech moguls saw massive gains, the fortunes of some of Africa’s wealthiest individuals took a hit, while others saw their wealth increase.

According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the world’s top 10 wealthiest people collectively gained $64bn, marking the largest daily increase since the index began in 2012. However, the ripple effects of Trump’s success have been far from uniform for Africa’s billionaires.

Trump’s impact on Africa’s economic landscape

Trump’s victory is sparking both optimism and concern across the African continent. On one hand, the billionaire’s approach to trade, immigration, and security has raised questions about its impact on African development. Trump’s policies, particularly his stance on immigration and protectionism, have led to fears over potential setbacks, like the weakening of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). This initiative, which has allowed eligible African nations to export their goods to the US tax-free since 2000, could come under threat, affecting key export industries across the continent.

On the other hand, experts point out that Trump may focus more on Africa to counter China’s growing influence. The US administration has a history of using Africa as a strategic arena, particularly through initiatives like Prosper Africa, launched in 2018. The project has already invested over $10bn in the continent, promoting trade, economic ties, and security cooperation between the US and African nations. Despite Trump’s loss in 2020, the project has continued, raising hopes it may persist under his potential return to power.

African billionaires react to the US election results

For some of Africa’s wealthiest figures, the results of the US election had a direct financial impact. The Bloomberg index revealed the performance of five prominent African billionaires in the days following Trump’s victory. While some saw their wealth rise, others suffered losses.

Aliko Dangote (Nigeria) remained relatively unaffected in terms of net worth, but did experience a modest decline of $35.8 million, bringing his total to $27.7bn. As Africa’s richest man and an influential industrialist, Dangote’s fortunes are closely tied to global economic conditions, particularly in sectors like oil, gas, and cement.

Johann Rupert (South Africa), known for his luxury goods empire, also faced a loss, with his wealth falling by $36.7 million, dropping to $13.3bn. The volatility in global markets and consumer confidence post-election likely contributed to this decrease.

In contrast, Nicky Oppenheimer (South Africa), the diamond magnate, saw his wealth grow by $125 million, bringing his total net worth to $11.5bn. Similarly, Natie Kirsh (South Africa), a food and beverage tycoon, experienced a significant increase in his fortune, rising by $67.8 million, bringing his wealth to $9.25bn.

Finally, Nassef Sawiris (Egypt), whose industrial holdings include interests in construction and chemicals, saw a more substantial dip. His net worth fell by $186 million, settling at $7.68bn.

The broader picture for African business

While some African billionaires have felt the immediate effects of Trump’s election, these shifts highlight a larger picture of uncertainty in global finance. Concerns around Trump’s policies, especially regarding trade relations and economic partnerships, continue to cast a shadow over Africa’s future development. His protectionist approach could challenge Africa’s export industries and complicate economic ties with key trading partners.

At the same time, Africa’s vast natural resources, growing middle class, and strategic importance as a trade and investment hub are seen as key assets that could draw more attention from the US in the coming years. The Prosper Africa initiative, along with other trade and security partnerships, could see increased funding, benefiting African nations that capitalise on these opportunities.

A mixed bag for Africa’s billionaires

While Trump’s re-election may bring new opportunities for African countries seeking to strengthen ties with the US, the financial fallout for billionaires like Dangote, Rupert, and Sawiris shows the volatile intersection of global politics and business. As African nations navigate this new reality, it remains to be seen how Trump’s policies will shape the continent’s long-term economic prospects.

Despite the fluctuations in individual fortunes, Africa’s wealthiest business figures continue to wield significant influence, and their ability to adapt to changing global dynamics will be key to their sustained success in the post-election period.